Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 177.977328 194.723365 211.821449 230.554909 250.472798 270.987943 293.685315
2024-12-15 150.300324 175.304107 201.991281 232.468226 266.180886 302.206337 343.485771
2024-12-22 129.527719 160.453320 194.844622 235.610186 282.291346 333.762691 394.484076
2024-12-29 115.831280 151.642925 192.973595 243.596862 303.313780 370.913279 452.595734
2025-01-05 103.552119 142.891022 189.900492 249.232577 321.109131 404.374599 507.090524
2025-01-12 90.520155 131.671656 182.567362 248.691587 330.837187 428.063832 550.295831
2025-01-19 79.576598 121.836027 175.851372 247.957666 339.629360 450.256956 591.704953
2025-01-26 73.934187 118.292433 176.596502 256.203286 359.342227 485.771364 649.613451
2025-02-02 68.471094 114.365723 176.337476 262.780932 376.773264 518.539545 704.530553
2025-02-09 63.940998 111.244012 176.751805 269.946485 394.831083 552.173577 760.873910
2025-02-16 59.662114 108.034334 176.684243 276.203860 411.597878 584.260274 815.614107
2025-02-23 51.657695 98.443374 166.925904 268.545792 409.379709 591.630204 838.816690
2025-03-02 45.556408 91.317959 160.351806 265.102665 412.831936 606.634438 872.455167
2025-03-09 41.504100 87.094803 157.749934 267.084342 423.627841 631.412851 919.144952
2025-03-16 38.193873 83.772767 156.248236 270.482195 436.349935 658.891590 969.750453
2025-03-23 36.410222 82.897201 158.418137 279.267128 456.752875 696.957796 1034.838618
2025-03-30 34.217589 81.066636 158.915433 285.466491 473.524118 730.306211 1094.077104
2025-04-06 30.862064 76.746535 155.093534 284.853471 480.355191 750.071982 1135.313283
2025-04-13 27.806347 72.641369 151.313112 284.033989 486.704434 769.118587 1175.688648
2025-04-20 26.756920 72.348759 153.868976 293.132148 507.731257 808.775366 1244.448157
2025-04-27 25.472422 71.441658 155.280257 300.385430 526.089751 844.893300 1308.749644
2025-05-04 24.386741 70.823144 157.110390 308.283157 545.471912 882.620734 1375.587905
2025-05-11 23.220510 69.908348 158.335173 315.175998 563.407846 918.486789 1440.216182